Poroshenko Preparing Blitzkrieg in Donbass
by Viktor Baranets
August 24, 2015
A few days ago the deputy commander of the Ministry of Defence housing Donetsk People’s Republic (DNI) Eduard Eduard Basurin held a briefing where spoke about one of the most probable (according to his staff) versions of the expected onset of the Ukrainian army. According to the map, which showed reporters Eduard Basurin, intelligence Donetsk corps managed to get a lot of data about the number of troops and military equipment Square in the south-east areas of their deployment, about the nature of “gestures” Ukrainian units and on the front, and in the rear. All this (and much more, including radio intercepts, the testimony of defectors and obtained documents) and allowed the corps headquarters to “read” the basic designs of the enemy.
SIGNS OF WAR
In recent months, Ukrainian group Donbass intensively built up on personnel, military equipment and ammunition. Day and night are brought reinforcements projectiles: bombs and provisions by rail from the city of Kharkiv Raisins and then machines all forwarded to the “front line”. All this – the sure signs of a large-scale training operation. Announced the next mobilization. Military using the local population Stakhanov pace built almost 600 kilometers and the “three-layer” barrier, which consists of nearly 300 points of support, – where, according to its configuration, it is made in such a way that after Cleave Ukrainian army units Donetsk troops would be forced to to retreat towards the Russian border, where they will grind and machine guns and guns entrenched in concrete fortresses Ukrainian fighters. At the same time the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine ordered the army and the National Guard to prepare a thorough line of defense along the border with the Crimea – has dug dozens of kilometers of trenches and ditches (along which several rows of stretched barbed wire), the same is equipped with a myriad of machine-gun nests, the land along the border Sappers densely bustles mines. All this is done clearly on the case to the aid of Donetsk and Lugansk units rush Crimeans. Moreover, to cover the borders of Crimea (which can be seen on the map shown Eduard Basurin) set up a special group of forces. Intensely driven into a state of high alert fighter and ground attack aircraft the Air Force of Ukraine. Counterintelligence DNI and LC in recent months, more and more catches in the territory of their own republics infiltrators “on the side”, which is also – a clear sign of preparation of the Ukrainian security forces for combat operations.
Until the end, the Ukrainian government security officials put more than 300 armored vehicles, 400 cars, 30 thousand rockets and ammunition, as well as more than 12 thousand units of small arms.
What are the plans in UKRAINIAN GENERAL STAFF
When you look at the map Eduard Basurin – the first thing you catch yourself thinking that the Ukrainian General Staff obviously there are people who are trying to replicate the experience of warfare during World War II, when Hitler’s generals initially managed to dissect large group of Red Army troops and to organize they “boilers” (true, then the Red Army, have learned the bitter lessons of a much more successful “cooked” the Nazi hordes in the same “pot”). Why, the DNI and the troops showed a brilliant example of this tactic when arranged the Kiev junta Ilovaiskaya defeat in the “pot”. It seems that subordinates of General Victor Muzhenko (Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) decided to “make” a similar scenario. Judging by the blue arrows on the map Eduard Basurin, Ukrainian troops are preparing Cleave between Donetsk and Luhansk to dismember militia groups, a part of the forces to lock them in the capital, and another to organize “ticks” for the armed forces ‘separatist’, which in the case of adverse developments will rush to the border with Russia. Where they obviously conspired to cut waste. This is indicated by the edge of one of the blue arrows, which abuts the Uspenka – checkpoint on the Russian-Ukrainian border. It seems that there, according to the logic of command shell militia should leave the army junta, simultaneously capturing and Ilovaysk Shahtersk. After surrounding the Donetsk and Lugansk, we can expect the onset of Ukrainian troops from Mariupol to Novoazovsk. To regain control over the strategically important for Kiev Azov Sea coast – has long been the undisguised aim of Poroshenko and his clique.
The grouping of the Ukrainian Army in the south-east (with the armed detachments of the National Guard and Right), which is still a couple of months was estimated at 65 thousand people, has now become more than 25-30 thousand people. A couple of days ago with great Ponte Poroshenko gave his troops a new multiple launch rocket systems “Grad”. Clearly, not for plowing fields for winter …
The headquarters of the Donetsk and Lugansk groupings of data on the number of his troops, of course, did not disclose. According to the Ukrainian General Staff intelligence agencies, the number of infantry at the “separatists” does not exceed 40 thousand. Man. But in the case of general mobilization, they can double and triple its staff. Stocks of arms and ammunition recovered from the enemy, they will be enough at all. As armored vehicles (tanks and APCs) and artillery militia too far behind Ukrainian security officials. While many fights showed that Suvorov covenant “war is not the number and skill” Donetsk residents have learned to “excellent.” In addition, they have a great military experience and high morale. And many bad shelled 18-year-old “children”, which Poroshenko throws into the fight, have no such experience. And even to war many officers and soldiers of the Ukrainian army did not burn with the desire to expose the forehead by a bullet of a fratricidal war. Nearly 10 thousand. Deserters from the ranks of Ukrainian security officials say a lot …
But even with the double superiority in manpower and far more significant – in military equipment, the blitzkrieg from Kiev is unlikely to succeed. Having “hot spot” of success upon the occurrence of two or three cities, the army is inevitably mired in a protracted battle, and then will get back to guerilla strikes. Donetsk residents are able to “grind” the occupiers …
FUNERAL Minsk Agreement
If the Ukrainian army will deploy a combat operation, it immediately would mean that Kiev finally turned distressful Minsk agreement toilet paper. Already leak information that is going to convince Berlin Poroshenko Merkel and Hollande in the “correctness” of the radical and power solutions. Hard to believe that the guarantor of the Minsk Agreement agree. For political rating of German Chancellor and French President immediately drop to the price of rotten potatoes. As aptly said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met with Poroshenko in Berlin, most likely will be “educational nature”. №2 The civil war in the south-east of Ukraine – are not in the interest of tired of the protracted conflict and antisanktsy Europe. Already it reached the point that even the US State Department, always tenderly stroked on the head Poroshenko – and he warns him that he did not “bury”. But much like that Ukrainian President “bit between his teeth”: trying to drag his country into a new war, he is trying to prolong the agony of its power, and along with ritual attributed blame for the deep economic crisis in the “separatists” and, of course – to Russia. He still fooling its people demagogic slogans of “United Ukraine”, although flatly refuses to negotiate with the obstinate Donbas. New War to Poroshenko, this is another attempt to achieve its cherished goal – to draw Russia into Ukrainian mezhduusobits and attributed to it all the ills of the country. But there is a strong likelihood that the adventurous idea put an end to the political fate of the chocolate tycoon greatly multiply their revenues in the blood of their fellow citizens.